{"id":10716,"date":"2016-04-13T14:12:36","date_gmt":"2016-04-13T08:42:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.indiaeconomyandbusiness.com\/is\/?p=46"},"modified":"2023-07-19T14:30:41","modified_gmt":"2023-07-19T09:00:41","slug":"imf-world-economic-outlook-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.indiaeconomyandbusiness.com\/is\/imf-world-economic-outlook-2\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF World Economic Outlook, April&#8217;16. What is new&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The IMF projects a 0.2% downward revision for the world growth in 2016, which stands at 3.2% now. Almost all the major economies have witnessed a downward revision, except China\u00a0for which there is 0.2% upward revision and India where there is no change. Beyond the numbers, key points of the 230 page report (equal to one term course, for sure..!) are:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><!--more--><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\">Several\u00a0stresses of non-economic origin have surfaced with pressures originating in political, geopolitical, or natural developments.<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\">In both the United States and Europe, the political discussion is turning increasingly inward. The result could be a turn toward more nationalistic policies, including protectionist ones.<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\">In the United Kingdom, the planned June referendum is cause for serious concern. A\u00a0\u201cBrexit\u201d could do severe damage to regional and global economy.<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\">China&#8217;s transition from an investment to\u00a0consumption &amp; services driven economy is underway, leading to significant uncertainty for both China and the world. Any \u00a0adverse outcome of the process can\u00a0have substantial spillover effects on the rest of the world.<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\">Investment demand remains weak worldwide, primarily due to decrease in surplus with commodity exporters, China\u2019s re-balancing process\u00a0and slower growth in international trade.<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\">The decrease in surplus for commodity exporters should translate into symmetric gains for importers. However, the negative effects on producers seem to have dominated so far. (Editor&#8217;s comment &#8211; The commodity upward cycle played over a decade. Same way, the shift in trade surplus\/ re-balancing from the meltdown would take a few years to completely play out).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The IMF projects a 0.2% downward revision for the world growth in 2016, which stands at 3.2% now. Almost all the major economies have witnessed a downward revision, except China\u00a0for which there is 0.2% upward revision and India where there is no change. Beyond the numbers, key points of the 230 page report (equal to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[859],"tags":[142,171,344,408,815],"class_list":["post-10716","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-international","tag-brexit","tag-china","tag-global","tag-imf","tag-world","membership-content","access-restricted"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>IMF World Economic Outlook, April&#039;16. 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